If you enjoy following football, you might be interested in turning your passion for the sport into a profitable side business. Winning at betting is all about knowing the odds better than the bookmakers. To achieve this, expanding your knowledge of the sport, learning how to convert odds into reliable probabilities, and identifying the most favorable scenarios for your bets can all lead to profits. Let's explore betting tricks to win with Wintips through the following article!
Predicting winners accurately
1. Learn as much as you can about football
Take the time to familiarize yourself with the context of the sport. This will help you better understand how leagues are organized, how clubs are ranked, who the top players are for each club, and how individual matches are decided. As a result, you'll be able to make educated predictions about how a match or season might unfold.
Watch major sports channels or read the sports section of newspapers for updates on significant matches. You can also explore club and player statistics on websites like ESPN, BBC UK, and Fox Sports.
2. Consider Other Factors That Affect the Game
Knowing a club’s current standings isn’t enough. Ensure you stay informed about other important developments, such as injuries, squad changes, and recent coaching changes. The smallest details can be the difference between a win and a loss.
- Statistics can tell you more about a club’s performance than past wins. A high-scoring club may not be guaranteed a win if the opposing team’s goalkeeper has a 75% shot-stopping record.
- Instead of solely relying on a club or player’s win-loss record, closely examine their specific offensive and defensive statistics.
3. Pay attention to popular odds for clues about how a game might play out
Just because many people bet a certain way doesn’t mean they’re more likely to be right. However, checking the consensus can be helpful when making informed choices. They may know something you don’t.
- For example, a sudden change in odds the day before a big game could be a sign that a star player is sidelined through injury or illness.
- Using popular odds as a starting point and refining your selection can be a useful strategy when you're uncertain how to bet.
Bet wisely and effectively
1. Stick to full-time betting to avoid complicated odds schemes
A "full-time" bet is the simplest form of betting, with only three possible outcomes: win, lose, or draw. With full-time betting, you simply need to decide which team has the best chance of winning. Simplifying the betting structure in this way allows you to focus on making safe choices.
- A popular variation of full-time betting is called the 'Asian Handicap,' where a certain number of goals are added or subtracted from the final score of the chosen club to eliminate the possibility of a draw. Asian handicaps make it possible to win money by betting on a losing team.
- Full-time betting doesn’t always promise the same big payouts as other schemes, but it does give you the chance to win small amounts of money consistently.
2. Convert odds into pure probabilities before making your pick
To calculate the approximate probability from a given set of odds, take the second number in the set and divide it by the sum of both numbers. Then multiply the resulting decimal number by 100 to get the probability as a percentage.
- For example, if a bookmaker offers odds of 4/6 for Liverpool, that means their chance of winning is 0.6, or around 60%, which is quite high.
- When odds are presented as a decimal, you simply divide 1 by the whole number, then multiply the answer by 100. For odds of 2.26, the conversion process would be as follows: 1/2.26 = 0.44247 x 100 = 44.25%.
- It is important to calculate the probability every time you place a bet. If you only look at the bookmaker's odds, you will probably place riskier bets than you normally would.
3. Limit your bets to a single slip to keep the odds in your favor
Whenever possible, play it safe and limit your selections to a single club, player, or outcome. This makes it much easier to calculate the probabilities without any surprises. The more variables you include, the smaller your chances of making a profit.
- You are more likely to correctly predict that Newcastle United will win the match than to predict that Ciaran Clark will score the winning goal in a 3-1 aggregate score.
- It is not uncommon for bookmakers to offer attractive prices and payouts for multiple bets. This is how they entice punters into betting on wagers that are statistically unfavorable to them.
4. Wait for the perfect moment to lock in your bet
As a general rule, you should hold off until you have as much detail as possible about the likely outcome of the match. Betting by the minute will provide the highest level of safety if your bookmaker offers it. Otherwise, betting on the day of the event is the safest course of action.
- Resist the temptation to place large bets in advance with promises of big discounts or bonuses. Doing so will limit your ability to adjust your predictions, playing right into the bookmaker's hands.
- Look for special odds multipliers on match day, often available for a limited time at betting shops. If you like the offered odds, this can be a good way to increase your earnings.
- Odds are dynamic, not fixed, and can continue to change throughout the match. A certain club may fall behind at first, but if they tend to score most of their goals in the second half, they can still win.
Get an edge in the betting market
1. Shop around for the best odds and prices
Don’t let any bookmaker make you feel like it’s your only option. Visit a variety of bookmakers (both local and online) to see what they offer. If you don’t like their terms, move on to the next one. Remember, it’s your money, and you can risk it as you see fit.
- Choosing the best odds from multiple bookmakers reduces the bookmaker's edge on your bet to around 1.5%, compared to the usual 5%.
- Search for top-rated odds-checking sites to compare prices and odds from various online bookmakers.
2. Avoid betting on your favorite team if the odds aren't in their favor
Just because a club or player is your favorite doesn't mean they’re the favorite to win. Once you’ve done your due diligence, trust your instincts—let the odds, not your emotions, decide who to bet on.
You often know your favorite team better than anyone else, which is beneficial if you’ve done your due diligence and compared their stats with those of the opposing team.
3. Don’t be afraid to bet on a draw when the game could go either way
Sports fans love to see a clear winner, especially in high-profile matches. For this reason, bookmakers sometimes increase the odds of a draw. If neither club looks like a clear winner, betting on a draw could help you recoup your stake and more.
- If one club has a slight advantage, consider choosing an Asian handicap (if available) to give yourself an edge.
- Since the odds of goals being scored are relatively low, draws are more common in football than in other sports.
- This strategy can be particularly successful when two clubs with similar statistics and rankings face each other.
Conclusion
With the betting tips shared by Wintips above, hopefully, they will help you win. Remember, smart betting relies not only on luck but also on analysis, knowledge, and strategy. Don't forget to manage your budget closely and avoid letting emotions influence your decisions. We wish you success and enjoyable experiences while participating in betting with Wintips!
See more: How to bet and win: Smart and effective betting strategies
