If you enjoy following football, you may be interested in how you can turn your passion for the sport into a profitable side business. Winning at betting is all about knowing the odds better than the bookmakers. To achieve this, expanding your knowledge of the sport, learning how to convert odds into reliable probabilities, and narrowing down the most favorable scenarios for your bets can all be profitable. Let's explore betting tricks to win with Wintips through the following article!
Predicting winners accurately
1. Learn as much as you can about football
Take the time to familiarise yourself with the context of the sport. This will help you better understand how leagues are organised, how clubs are ranked, who the best players are for each club and how individual matches are determined. As a result, you will be able to make educated guesses about how a match or season might play out.
- Watch one of the major sports channels or read the sports section of the newspaper for information on the results of big matches.
- You can also dig deeper into club and player statistics on websites such as ESPN, BBC UK and Fox Sports.
2. Consider Other Factors That Affect the Game
Knowing a club’s current standings isn’t enough. Make sure you stay up to date with other important developments, such as injuries, squad changes, and recent coaching changes. The smallest details can make the difference between a win and a loss.
- Statistics can tell you more about a club’s performance than past wins. A high-scoring club may not be guaranteed a win if the opposing team’s goalkeeper has a 75% shot-stopping record.
- Rather than relying solely on a club or player’s win-loss record to make your selection, take a closer look at their specific offensive and defensive statistics.
3. Pay attention to popular odds for clues about how a game might play out
Just because everyone bets a certain way doesn’t mean they’re more likely to be right. However, checking to see what the general consensus is can be helpful when making informed choices. They may know something you don’t.
- For example, a sudden change in odds the day before a big game could be a sign that a star player is sidelined through injury or illness.
- Using popular odds as a starting point and refining your selection from there can be a useful strategy when you’re unsure how to bet.
Bet wisely and effectively
1. Stick to full-time betting to avoid complicated odds schemes
A “full-time” bet is the most basic form of betting and involves only three possible outcomes: win, lose or draw. With full-time betting, all you have to do is decide which team you think has the best chance of winning. Simplifying the betting structure in this way allows you to focus on making safe choices.
- A popular variation of full-time betting is called “Asian handicap”, where a certain number of goals are added or subtracted from the final score of the chosen club to prevent a draw. Asian handicaps make it possible to actually win money by betting on a losing team.
- Full-time betting doesn’t always promise the same big payouts as other schemes, but it does give you the chance to win small amounts of money consistently.
2. Convert odds into pure probabilities before making your pick
To calculate the rough probability from a given set of odds, take the second number in the set and divide it by the sum of both numbers. Then multiply the resulting decimal number by 100 to get the probability as a percentage.
- For example, if a bookmaker offers odds of 4/6 for Liverpool, that means their chance of winning is 0.6 or around 60%, which is quite high.
- When odds are presented as a decimal, you simply divide 1 by the whole number, then multiply the answer by 100. For odds of 2.26, the conversion process would be as follows: 1/2.26 = 0.44247 x 100 = 44.25%.
- It is important to calculate the probability every time you place a bet. If you only look at the bookmaker's odds, you will probably place riskier bets than you normally would.
3. Limit your bets to a single slip to keep the odds in your favour
Whenever possible, play it safe and limit your selections to a single club, player or outcome. This makes it much easier to calculate the probabilities without any surprises. The more variables you include, the smaller your chances of making a profit.
- You are more likely to correctly predict that Newcastle United will win the match than predict that Ciaran Clark will score the winning goal in a 3-1 aggregate score.
- It is not uncommon for bookmakers to offer attractive prices and payouts for multiple bets. This is how they entice punters into betting on bets that are statistically unfavourable to them.
4. Wait for the perfect moment to lock in your bet
As a general rule, you want to hold off until you have as much detail as possible about the likely outcome of the match. Betting by the minute will provide the highest level of safety, if your bookmaker offers it. Otherwise, betting on the day of the event is the safest course of action.
- Resist the temptation to place large bets in advance with the promise of big discounts or bonuses. You will lose the ability to modify your predictions by doing so, meaning you are playing right into the bookmaker's hands.
- Keep an eye out for special price multipliers on the day of the match. These are often offered for a limited time at betting shops. If you like the probability of the odds being offered, this can be a good way to increase your earnings.
- Odds are organic, not fixed, and can continue to change throughout the match. A certain club may fall behind at first, but if they tend to score most of their goals in the second half, they can still win.
Get an edge in the betting market
1. Shop around for the best odds and prices
Don’t let one particular company make you feel like they are the only option. Visit a variety of bookmakers (both local and online) and see what they have to offer. If you don’t like their terms, move on to the next one. Remember, it’s your money and you can risk it as much as you want.
- Choosing the best odds from multiple bookmakers will reduce the odds of them winning your bet to around 1.5%, rather than the usual 5%.
- Run a search for top-rated odds checking sites to compare odds and prices from a variety of online bookmakers.
2. Avoid betting on your favorite team if the odds aren't in their favor
Just because a club or player is your favorite doesn't mean they're the favorite to win. Once you've done your due diligence, it's best to just trust your instincts—let the odds, not your emotions, decide who you bet your money on.
- You often know the ins and outs of your favorite team better than anyone else, which can be a good thing, as long as you've done your due diligence and compared that team's stats to those of the opposing team.
3. Don’t be afraid to bet on a draw when the game could go either way
Sports fans love to see a clear winner, especially in high-profile matches. For this reason, bookmakers sometimes increase the odds on a level final score. If neither club looks like a clear winner, betting on a draw could see you recoup your stake and more.
- If you think one club might have a slight advantage over the other, it’s a good idea to go for an Asian handicap (if it’s available) to give yourself an extra edge.
- Because the odds of goals being scored are relatively low, you’re more likely to see a draw in football than in other sports.
- This strategy can be particularly successful when two clubs with similar statistics and rankings face each other.
Conclusion
With the betting tricks to win that Wintips has shared above, hopefully it will help you win. Always remember that smart betting is not only based on luck but also a combination of analysis, knowledge and strategy. Don't forget to manage your budget closely and don't let emotions influence your decisions. Wish you success and always have interesting experiences when participating in betting with Wintips!
